<html><head><meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html charset=utf-8"></head><body style="word-wrap: break-word; -webkit-nbsp-mode: space; -webkit-line-break: after-white-space;" class="">Hi,<div class=""><br class=""></div><div class="">I am really impressed by all you are doing and the accuracy of the evaluations.</div><div class="">Yes, most comes down on the accuracy of the wether forecast, RIMpro is just an interpretation of that.</div><div class="">If I was grower or consultant, I would plan a decent cover spray (= certainly every row to be treated) with a classic protectant on April 30 or early morning May 1st. Than wait and see and anticipate to apply a kick-back fungicide after the infection as it tuns out to be the big event dat is predicted now in several forecast scenarios.</div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class="">Marc</div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""><div><blockquote type="cite" class=""><div class="">Op 28 apr. 2016 (week17), om 16:11 heeft Daniel Cooley <<a href="mailto:dcooley@umass.edu" class="">dcooley@umass.edu</a>> het volgende geschreven:</div><br class="Apple-interchange-newline"><div class=""><meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html charset=utf-8" class=""><div style="word-wrap: break-word; -webkit-nbsp-mode: space; -webkit-line-break: after-white-space;" class="">Our models look much like Dave’s. In addition to looking at NEWA and RIMpro driven by weather stations/<a href="http://yr.no/" class="">yr.no</a>,, Meteo Blue and HRDPS, we’ve been following SkyBit and Ag-Radar which is driven by SkyBit, all for the UMass orchard at Belchertown.<div class=""><br class=""></div><div class="">NEWA<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space:pre"> </span>history = weather station on site; forecast is US National Weather Service</div><div class="">RIMpro NEWA <span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre;"> </span>history = NEWA weather station; forecast is YR.NO<br class="">RIMpro MB <span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre;"> </span><span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre;"> </span>history = MB; forecast is MB<br class="">RIMpro HRDPS<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre;"> </span>history = HRDPS; forecast is YR.NO</div><div class="">SkyBit<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space:pre"> </span>history = ZedX; forecast is ZedX</div><div class="">Ag-Radar<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space:pre"> </span>history = ZedX; forecast is ZedX</div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class="">We’re spraying a test block with treatments linked to each system.</div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class="">What a difference a day makes. Yesterday the only forecast for a major infection on May 1-2 came from RIMpro MB, though RIMpro NEWA predicted minor infection. Today all except NEWA are indicating an infection. The difference is the forecast. Yesterday only Meteo Blue weather forecast indicated a major infection. Today, all except the NWS weather indicates a major infection. And Weather Underground says that there will be about 20 hr. of wetting starting Sunday about 8 AM.</div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class="">There are probably more screens than you want to see, but I couldn’t stop. </div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><span id="cid:F320E491-E6A9-4722-9B8A-5415AC02A97C"><4-27 scab main sm.jpg></span><span id="cid:FD52EEFB-5B01-4FB1-AF25-9386E65C3134"><4-28 scab main sm.jpg></span></div><div class=""><span id="cid:61EE8CE8-0CC8-4E9B-9145-A3DE4B0F6DFB"><4-27 NEWA sm.jpg></span><span id="cid:EB450E40-FABE-4D4C-913D-A976D75EDF9F"><4-28 NEWA sm.jpg></span></div><div class=""><span id="cid:B7912B6B-05B1-4AA2-BE13-E023B5872A5E"><4-27 MB sm.jpg></span><span id="cid:1839D620-C696-47E7-9ACD-5C6CD06B38DD"><4-28 MB sm.jpg></span></div><div class=""><span id="cid:21CA9F49-B5B9-4B24-BA19-BB071345D68A"><4-27 AR scab infection pct sm.jpg></span><span id="cid:B87A3E77-6276-41D8-AFB6-85F310066390"><4-28 AR scab infection pct sm.jpg></span></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""><div class=""><blockquote type="cite" class=""><div class="">On Apr 28, 2016, at 9:15 AM, Juliet Evelyn Carroll <<a href="mailto:jec3@cornell.edu" class="">jec3@cornell.edu</a>> wrote:</div><br class="Apple-interchange-newline"><div class="">
<meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=us-ascii" class="">
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<div class="">The fully interactive apple scab model is accessed from the Apple Diseases menu item choice under Pest Forecasts on the main menu,
<a href="http://newa.cornell.edu/" class="">http://newa.cornell.edu</a></div>
<div class="">From this page you can choose any location in NEWA and compare RIMpro for your locations in the US.</div>
<div class="">Julie<br class="">
<br class="">
Sent from my iPhone</div>
<div class=""><br class="">
On Apr 28, 2016, at 8:45 AM, Jon Clements <<a href="mailto:jon.clements@umass.edu" class="">jon.clements@umass.edu</a>> wrote:<br class="">
<br class="">
</div>
<blockquote type="cite" class="">
<div class="">
<div dir="ltr" class="">I believe Randy would be looking at this:
<div class=""><br class="">
</div>
<div class=""><a href="http://newa.cornell.edu/index.php?page=weather-station-page&WeatherStation=khpn" target="_blank" class="">http://newa.cornell.edu/index.php?page=weather-station-page&WeatherStation=khpn</a><br class="">
</div>
</div>
<div class="gmail_extra"><br class="">
<div class="gmail_quote">On Thu, Apr 28, 2016 at 8:03 AM, Marc Trapman <span dir="ltr" class="">
<<a href="mailto:marc@rimpro.eu" target="_blank" class="">marc@rimpro.eu</a>></span> wrote:<br class="">
<blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0 0 0 .8ex;border-left:1px #ccc solid;padding-left:1ex">
<div style="word-wrap:break-word" class="">1/ Can you please provide me link for the NEWA scab prediction so I can see what is going on at try to explain differences ?
<div class="">2/ MeteoBlue again proves very accurate in Europe. I can imagine that the quality for US is different.<br class="">
<div class=""><br class="">
</div>
<div class="">Thanks, </div>
<div class="">Marc
<div class="">
<div class="h5"><br class="">
<div class="">
<blockquote type="cite" class="">
<div class="">Op 28 apr. 2016 (week17), om 13:53 heeft Randal Pratt <<a href="mailto:rpratt713@gmail.com" target="_blank" class="">rpratt713@gmail.com</a>> het volgende geschreven:</div>
<br class="">
<div class="">
<div dir="ltr" class="">Now we have a complete divergence between <span class="">NEWA</span> and <span class="">
Rimpro</span>. <span class="">NEWA</span> is showing a scab infection for the next three days and nothing for May 1st and 2nd, while
<span class="">Rimpro</span> has a very minimal infection for the next three days and a tremendous infection for May 1st and 2nd.
<div class=""><br class="">
</div>
<div class="">Hard to reconcile these differences.</div>
<div class=""><br class="">
</div>
<div class="">Randy Pratt</div>
<div class=""><span class="">Wilkens</span> Fruit Farm</div>
</div>
<div class="gmail_extra"><br class="">
<div class="gmail_quote">On Wed, Apr 27, 2016 at 11:59 AM, David A. Rosenberger <span dir="ltr" class="">
<<a href="mailto:dar22@cornell.edu" target="_blank" class="">dar22@cornell.edu</a>></span> wrote:<br class="">
<blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0 0 0 .8ex;border-left:1px #ccc solid;padding-left:1ex">
<div style="word-wrap:break-word" class="">Following are a few observations on RIMpro graphs as I am currently seeing them for Highland, NY:
<div class=""><br class="">
<div class=""> 1. Based on RIMpro using our NEWA station data, we are now at or nearing full bloom, and we still have not had any infection events with RIM values above 38.</div>
<div class=""><br class="">
</div>
<div class=""> 2. My perception (from my own observations over the past two years, plus what I hear from the Europeans) is that infection periods with RIM values below 300 are not economically important in CLEAN orchards at the BEGINNING and END of the ascospore release
period. More caution is warranted when there are infection periods during the peak ascospore release times between tight cluster and petal fall. Thus, I hope that no one is continuing to leave trees totally unsprayed into full bloom just because RIMpro has
shown no infection periods with RIM values over 300. (Besides, in many areas, you need sprays by pink bud stage to control mildew even if scab is not a problem.)</div>
<div class=""><br class="">
</div>
<div class=""> 4. Just a reminder about the graph at the bottom of the RIMpro output: The bright red part of the graph shows mature spores, and that level will fluctuate as spores mature on days with no rain and then are released on days with rain. The dark red
or burgundy layer below that shows spores remaining in the leaf litter. This declines in a more steady line, but the primary scab season will not be over until all of the deep red color at the base of the graph has disappeared.</div>
<div class=""><br class="">
</div>
<div class=""> 5. I have been comparing outputs from the MeteoBlue and NEWA data for our Highland location. Because they are using different weather forecast sources, the forecasts are often quite different, which is not unexpected since any and all weather forecasts
have a high degree of inaccuracy. I am more concerned that the MeteoBlue system is indicating extended wetting periods have occurred where that has not been the case based on NEWA data and (to some degree) my own observations. Thus, the MeteoBlue virtualy
data is, in my opinion, still unable to accurately ascertain when leaves are wet or dry and will need more fine-tuning before it produces a reliable record of infection events.</div>
<div class=""><br class="">
<div class="">
<div style="letter-spacing:normal;text-align:start;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;white-space:normal;word-spacing:0px;word-wrap:break-word" class="">
<div style="letter-spacing:normal;text-align:start;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;white-space:normal;word-spacing:0px;word-wrap:break-word" class="">
********************************************<br class="">
Dave Rosenberger, Plant Pathologist (retired)<br class="">
Hudson Valley Lab, P.O. Box 727, Highland, NY 12528<br class="">
Cell: <a href="tel:845-594-3060" value="+18455943060" target="_blank" class="">845-594-3060</a><br class="">
********************************************</div>
</div>
</div>
<br class="">
</div>
</div>
</div>
<br class="">
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</blockquote>
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<br class="">
<br clear="all" class="">
<div class=""><br class="">
</div>
-- <br class="">
<div class="">
<div dir="ltr" class="">
<div class=""><i class="">Randal Pratt</i></div>
<div class="">1335 White Hill Road</div>
<div class="">Yorktown Heights, NY 10598</div>
<div class=""><a href="tel:914-245-4098" value="+19142454098" target="_blank" class="">914-245-4098</a></div>
<div class=""><a href="tel:914-245-5111" value="+19142455111" target="_blank" class="">914-245-5111</a></div>
<div class="">Fax <a href="tel:914-245-4099" value="+19142454099" target="_blank" class="">914-245-4099</a></div>
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</blockquote>
</div>
<br class="">
</div>
</div>
<span class="HOEnZb"><font color="#888888" class="">
<div class="">
<div style="letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; word-wrap: break-word;" class="">
<div class="">Marc Trapman</div>
<div class="">Bio Fruit Advies / RIMpro</div>
<div class=""><a href="mailto:marc@rimpro.eu" target="_blank" class="">marc@rimpro.eu</a></div>
<div class=""><br class="">
</div>
</div>
<br class="">
<br class="">
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<br class="">
</font></span></div>
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<br class="">
<br clear="all" class="">
<div class=""><br class="">
</div>
-- <br class="">
<div class="gmail_signature">
<div dir="ltr" class="">Jon Clements<br class="">
aka 'Mr Honeycrisp'<br class="">
UMass Cold Spring Orchard<br class="">
393 Sabin St.<br class="">
Belchertown, MA 01007<br class="">
413-478-7219<br class="">
<a href="http://umassfruit.com/" target="_blank" class="">umassfruit.com</a><br class="">
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</blockquote>
<blockquote type="cite" class="">
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_______________________________________________<br class="">RIMproNA mailing list<br class=""><a href="mailto:RIMproNA@virtualorchard.com" class="">RIMproNA@virtualorchard.com</a><br class=""><a href="http://virtualorchard.com/mailman/listinfo/rimprona" class="">http://virtualorchard.com/mailman/listinfo/rimprona</a><br class=""></div></blockquote></div><br class=""></div></div>_______________________________________________<br class="">RIMproNA mailing list<br class=""><a href="mailto:RIMproNA@virtualorchard.com" class="">RIMproNA@virtualorchard.com</a><br class="">http://virtualorchard.com/mailman/listinfo/rimprona<br class=""></div></blockquote></div><br class=""><div apple-content-edited="true" class="">
<div style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); letter-spacing: normal; orphans: auto; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: auto; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; word-wrap: break-word; -webkit-nbsp-mode: space; -webkit-line-break: after-white-space;" class=""><div class="">Marc Trapman</div><div class="">Bio Fruit Advies / RIMpro</div><div class=""><a href="mailto:marc@rimpro.eu" class="">marc@rimpro.eu</a></div><div class=""><br class=""></div></div><br class="Apple-interchange-newline"><br class="Apple-interchange-newline">
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