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</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--></head><body lang=EN-US link=blue vlink=purple><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'>Hi Marc and Vincent, <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'>Can you explain the fire blight model and what the “experimental” caveats are? Is the 0.2 infection threshold the point at which we should treat with streptomycin or is it when we have past the critical level for the CFU? I assume the squiggly black lines represent the exponential development of </span><i><span style='font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;background:white'>Erwinia amylovora</span></i><span style='font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;background:white'>? <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;background:white'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;background:white'>How do wetting events influence the model? For example, Cougar blight only uses accumulations of degree hours and status of fire blight in the orchard the previous seasons. </span><span style='font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'><o:p></o:p></span></p><div><div><blockquote style='border:none;border-left:solid #CCCCCC 1.0pt;padding:0in 0in 0in 6.0pt;margin-left:4.8pt;margin-right:0in'><div><div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'> <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><img width=1040 height=803 id="_x0000_i1025" src="cid:image001.jpg@01D1AAC4.5FBB7E10"><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'>Thanks,<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'>Peter<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'>=============================<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'>Peter Werts<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'>Specialty Crops Project Manager<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'>IPM Institute of North America, Inc.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'>1020 Regent St. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'>Madison WI 53715<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'>Office: 608 232-1410<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'>Cell: 612 518-0319<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'>Fax: 608 232-1440<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'><a href="mailto:pwerts@ipminstitute.org">pwerts@ipminstitute.org</a><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'><a href="http://www.ipminstitute.org/">www.ipminstitute.org</a><o:p></o:p></span></p></div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><o:p> </o:p></p></div></blockquote></div></div></div></body></html>